My Oscars 2026 Predictions

BEST PICTURE

• "Bugonia"
• "F1"
• "Frankenstein"
• "Hamnet"
• "Marty Supreme"
• "One Battle After Another"
• "The Secret Agent"
• "Sentimental Value"
• "Sinners"
• "Train Dreams"

My Prediction: Sinners

BEST ACTRESS

• Jessie Buckley, "Hamnet"
• Rose Byrne, "If I Had Legs I'd Kick You"
• Renate Reinsve, "Sentimental Value"
• Emma Stone, "Bugonia"
• Kate Hudson, "Song Sung Blue"

My Prediction: Jessie Buckley

BEST ACTOR

• Timothée Chalamet, "Marty Supreme"
• Leonardo DiCaprio, "One Battle After Another"
• Ethan Hawke, "Blue Moon"
• Michael B. Jordan, "Sinners"
• Wagner Moura, "The Secret Agent"

My Prediction: Wagner Moura

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

• Elle Fanning, "Sentimental Value"
• Inga Ibsdotter LilIeaas, "Sentimental Value"
• Amy Madigan, "Weapons"
• Wunmi Mosaku, "Sinners"
• Teyana Taylor, "One Battle After Another"

My Prediction: Elle Fanning

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

• Jacob Elordi, "Frankenstein"
• Sean Penn, "One Battle After Another"
• Stellan Skarsgård, "Sentimental Value"
• Benicio del Toro, "One Battle After Another"
• Delroy Lindo, "Sinners"

My Prediction: Stellan Skarsgård

DIRECTOR

• Paul Thomas Anderson, "One Battle After Another"
• Ryan Coogler, "Sinners"
• Chloé Zhao, "Hamnet"
• Josh Safdie, "Marty Supreme"
• Joachim Trier, "Sentimental Value"

My Prediction: Ryan Coogler

ORIGINAL SONG

• "Golden" from "Kpop Demon Hunters"
• "Train Dreams" from "Train Dreams"
• "Dear Me" from "Diane Warren: Relentless"
• "I Lied To You" from "Sinners"
• "Sweet Dreams Of Joy" from "Viva Verdi!"

My Prediction: "Golden" from Kpop Demon Hunters

ORIGINAL SCORE

• "Bugonia," Jerskin Fendrix
• "Frankenstein," Alexandre Desplate
• "Hamnet," Max Richter
• "One Battle After Another," Jonny Greenwood
• "Sinners," Ludwig Göransson

My Prediction: Hamnet, Max Richter

ANIMATED FILM

• "Arco"
• "Elio"
• "KPop Demon Hunters"
• "Little Amélie or the Character of Rain"
• "Zootopia 2"

My Prediction: KPop Demon Hunters

INTERNATIONAL FILM

• "The Secret Agent," Brazil
• "It Was Just an Accident," France
• "Sentimental Value," Norway
• "Sirât," Spain
• "The Voice of Hind Rajab," Tunisia

My Prediction: The Secret Agent, Brazil

DOCUMENTARY FILM

• "The Perfect Neighbor"
• "The Alabama Solution"
• "Come See Me in the Good Light"
• "Cutting Through Rocks"
• "Mr. Nobody Against Putin"

My Prediction: Mr. Nobody Against Putin

BEST CASTING

• "Hamnet"
• "Marty Supreme"
• "One Battle After Another"
• "The Secret Agent"
• "Sinners"

My Prediction: Marty Supreme

BEST SOUND

• "F1"
• "Frankenstein"
• "One Battle after Another"
• "Sinners"
• "Sirāt"

My Prediction: Sirät

CINEMATOGRAPHY

• "Frankenstein"
• "Marty Supreme"
• "One Battle After Another"
• "Sinners"
• "Train Dreams"

My Prediction: Train Dreams

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

• "Blue Moon," Robert Kaplow
• "It Was Just an Accident," Jafar Panahi, with script collaborators Nader Saïvar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian
• "Marty Supreme," Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie
• "Sentimental Value," Eskil Vogt and Joachim Trier
• "Sinners," Ryan Coogler

My Prediction: It Was Just an Accident, Jafar Panahi, Nader Saïvar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

• "Bugonia"; Will Tracy
• "Frankenstein," Guillermo del Toro
• "Hamnet," Chloé Zhao and Maggie O'Farrell
• "One Battle After Another," Paul Thomas Anderson
• "Train Dreams," Clint Bailey and Greg Kwedar

My Prediction: One Battle After Another, Paul Thomas Anderson

VISUAL EFFECTS

• "Avatar: Fire and Ash"
• "F1″
• "Jurassic World Rebirth"
• "The Lost Bus"
• "Sinners"

My Prediction: Sinners

PRODUCTION DESIGN

• "Frankenstein"
• "Hamnet"
• "Marty Supreme"
• "One Battle After Another"
• "Sinners"

My Prediction: Sinners

FILM EDITING

• "F1"
• "Marty Supreme"
• "One Battle After Another"
• "Sentimental Value"
• "Sinners"

My Prediction: Marty Supreme

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

• "Frankenstein"
• "Kokuho"
• "Sinners"
• "The Smashing Machine"
• "The Ugly Stepsister"

My Prediction: Frankenstein

COSTUME DESIGN

• "Avatar: Fire and Ash"
• "Frankenstein"
• "Hamnet"
• "Marty Supreme"
• "Sinners"

My Prediction: Hamnet

And much like Groucho Marx said about his principles, these are my predictions, and if you don't like them… well, I have others!

(I'm sort of basing these on trying to actually predict what I think will happen while also trying to figure out some of the surprises we might get, and only then I'm thinking about my own personal taste.)

So please don't hate me for these. Can't wait to watch the Oscars next week!